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XMas rally?

What are your expectations when it comes to short term and long term price development, do you see a XMas rally incoming?
Think the chances are quite good and the reason would be hunt for liquidity by the big boys. Let me explain a bit:
I personally think that big money has taken over and it is no longer about technology when it comes to BTC. Since the introduction of BTC futures things have changed and it is now just a casino. Trading index and commodity futures and price movements there are optimized to "use" retail traders for liquidity so i would expect the same is now the case for BTC.
Since BTC trading is far less regulated and some players can even move the markets by themselves or Tether, betting on futures could be used as amplifier. Just a few days ago the sudden spike wiped out 60M in short positions on the futures for example. That is nice pocket money for a whale. Now as discussed it is all about the liquidity in trading, since paper gains on any assets only become real once they are actually realized.
We have seen a dramatic raise to ATH. After that a drop to levels, where it would be barely profitable to keep infrastructure running. After that a raise over 10k, which created another wave of inflow of liquidity due to FOMO. This was a great opportunity to cash out for the big boys, they love to sell into all the FOMO buying of small investors (not just BTC). Now how will it continue ? What would be the next opportunity to generate liquidity to cash out?
We have dropped significantly from the last spike already. But XMas is at the doorstep and that could also attract some precious liquidity, especially if price would raise again over important levels like 10k and BTC would therefore be in the mainstream news....

If you are looking for more background info about liquidity and big money this is a really good video:
You could also read about the IG client sentiment indicator and price development (on USD/AUD f.e. it is nicely visible)...
My advice would be to make sure you are green, when all the dust settles. Diversify your investments and remember to play like the big boys: only realized profits are "real". Buy low sell high, do not HODL everything, because in this game someone will hold the bag in the end and it is usually the small investor. Times have changed, it is no longer about technology.
submitted by Biotic101 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

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submitted by stroke_bot to nullthworldproblems [link] [comments]

Daily Trading Thread - Wednesday 2.28.18

Hi everyone! Thanks for joining. This sub is for active traders of crypto and stocks, those looking to make a fat YUGE profit. While all are welcome, we are more geared for traders with a serious mindset. Post your ideas for today here.
Follow us on StockTwits and chat live on our Discord: trader chat.
Wiki: resources
FEB 28th WED Fear & Greed Index
Economic Calendar: Results & More
Time Release For Actual Expected Prior
7:00:00 AM MBA Mortgage Index 24-Feb 2.70% NA -6.60%
8:30:00 AM Q4 GDP - Second Estimate Q4 2.50% 2.50% 2.60%
8:30:00 AM Q4 GDP Deflator - Second Estimate Q4 0.02 2.40% 2.40%
9:45:00 AM Chicago PMI Feb - 65.50 64.50
10:00:00 AM Pending Home Sales Jan - 0.50% 0.40%
10:30:00 AM Crude Inventories 43,155.00 - NA NA
Ex-Dividend: Calendar
Ex- Div Company Amt Yield
ABAX Abaxis Rg 0.16 0.01
ACCO ACCO Brands Rg 0.06 0.02
ACNB ACNB Rg 0.20 0.03
AROW Arrow Financial Rg 0.25 0.00
ASB Assd Banc-Corp Rg 0.15 0.02
ASH Ashland Global H Rg 0.23 0.02
BCC Boise Cascade Rg 0.07 0.00
BKMU Bank Mutual Rg 0.15 0.00
BLL Ball Rg 0.10 0.01
BWA BorgWarner Rg 0.17 0.01
CATY Cathay Genl Banc Rg 0.24 0.02
CCNE CNB Finl Rg 0.17 0.02
CDK CDK Global Rg 0.15 0.01
CMP Compass Minerals Rg 0.72 0.05
CSS CSS Ind Inc Rg 0.20 0.04
CSX CSX Rg 0.22 0.01
CTB Cooper Tire&Rubb Rg 0.11 0.01
CTWS Connecticut Wtr Rg 0.30 0.02
CUB Cubic Corp Rg 0.14 0.00
CXP Columbia Prop RE Rg 0.20 0.04
EML The Eastern Co Rg 0.11 0.02
FF FutureFuel Rg 0.06 0.21
FFBC First Finl Banco Rg 0.19 0.02
FFKT Farmers Cap Bank Rg 0.13 0.01
FLR Fluor Rg 0.21 0.01
GPI Group I Automoti Rg 0.26 0.01
GRA W R Grace Rg 0.24 0.01
GS Goldman Sachs Gr Rg 0.75 0.02
HAYN Haynes Intl Rg 0.22 0.02
HCA HCA Hldgs Rg 0.35 0.01
HY Hyster-Yale Materials Handling 0.30 0.02
IBKR Interactive Br Rg-A 0.10 0.01
IPG Interpublic Grou Rg 0.21 0.03
JKHY Jack Henry & Ass Rg 0.37 0.01
JNPR Juniper Networks Rg 0.18 0.02
KNX Knight-Swft Trn - Registered -A- 0.06 0.00
LCNB LCNB Rg 0.16 0.03
LLL L3 Technologies - Registered 0.80 0.00
LMT Lockheed Martin Rg 2.00 0.02
MCD McDonald's 1.01 0.02
MCK Mckesson Rg 0.34 0.01
MGEE MGE Energy Rg 0.32 0.02
MOFG MidWestOne Finl Rg 0.20 0.02
MOS Mosaic Rg 0.03 0.02
MXIM Maxim Integr Pro Rg 0.42 0.02
NBTB NBT Bancorp Rg 0.23 0.03
NC Nacco Inds-A 0.17 0.03
NNI NELNET-A 0.16 0.01
NPK Nat.Presto Ind. Rg 6.00 0.05
NYLD NRG Yield Rg-C 0.30 0.13
O Realty Income RE Rg 0.22 0.05
ONB Old Natl Bancorp Rg 0.13 0.03
PEI Pennsyl REIT-SBI Rg 0.21 0.13
PII Polaris Inds Rg 0.60 0.02
PRGS Progress Softwar Rg 0.14 0.01
SAFT Safety Ins Grp Rg 0.80 0.04
SF Stifel Financial Rg 0.12 0.00
SSNC SS&C Tech Hldgs Rg 0.07 0.01
Earnings Reports: Morningstar Earnings Calendar & Results
Company Release Est. EPS Company Release Est. EPS
3D Systems (DDD) Morning 0.01 Itau Corpbanca (ITCB) Afternoon N/A
Aegion (AEGN) Afternoon 0.26 JD.Com (JD) N/A 0.07
Amyris (AMRS) Afternoon 0.12 KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF) Afternoon 0.34
Analog Devices (ADI) Morning 1.29 KVH Industries (KVHI) Morning 0.11
Ashford Hospitality Prime (AHP) Afternoon -0.08 L Brands (LB) Afternoon 2.04
Autodesk (ADSK) Afternoon -0.12 La Quinta (LQ) Afternoon -0.01
CafePress (PRSS) Afternoon 0.01 LHC Group (LHCG) Morning 0.61
Carrols Restaurant Group (TAST) Morning 0.02 Lincoln Educational Services (LINC) Morning 0.31
Chico's FAS (CHS) Morning 0.09 Lindblad Expeditions (LIND) Morning -0.07
Chimerix (CMRX) Morning -0.49 LivaNova (LIVN) Morning 0.77
Chinanet Online (CNET) Morning N/A Lowe's Companies (LOW) Morning 0.87
CIRCOR International (CIR) Morning 0.48 Magic Software Enterprises (MGIC) Morning 0.13
City Office REIT (CIO) Morning -0.09 Marvell Technology Group (MRVL) Afternoon 0.31
Clean Harbors (CLH) Morning 0.07 Merit Medical Systems (MMSI) Afternoon 0.32
Compass Diversified (CODI) Afternoon 0.44 Monster Beverage (MNST) Afternoon 0.37
Crocs (CROX) Morning -0.39 Movado Group (MOV) Morning 0.26
CTI BioPharma (CTIC) Afternoon -0.30 Mylan (MYL) Morning 1.42
Daqo New Energy (DQ) Morning 2.39 New Media Investment Group (NEWM) Morning 0.32
DASAN Zhone Solutions (DZSI) Afternoon 0.13 New Mountain Finance (NMFC) Afternoon 0.34
Donaldson (DCI) Morning N/A New York REIT (NYRT) Morning N/A
Donnelley Financial Solutions (DFIN) Morning 0.04 Northwest Pipe (NWPX) Afternoon -0.12
Dorchester Minerals (DMLP) N/A N/A Novanta (NOVT) Morning 0.41
Ducommun (DCO) Morning -0.34 Ocular Therapeutix (OCUL) Afternoon -0.56
Dycom Industries (DY) Morning 0.35 Ocwen Financial (OCN) Morning -0.23
E. W. Scripps (SSP) Morning 0.05 Office Depot (ODP) Morning 0.07
Eclipse Resources (ECR) Afternoon -0.02 Olympic Steel (ZEUS) Morning 0.08
Edge Therapeutics (EDGE) N/A -0.44 OvaScience (OVAS) Afternoon -0.28
Entravision Communication (EVC) Afternoon 0.01 Pacific Ethanol (PEIX) Afternoon -0.04
EP Energy (EPE) Afternoon -0.12 Pengrowth Energy (PGH) Afternoon N/A
EPR Properties (EPR) Afternoon 0.95 Physicians Realty Trust (DOC) Morning 0.27
Evogene (EVGN) Morning -0.21 QEP Resources (QEP) Afternoon -0.07
Federal Signal (FSS) Morning 0.20 Quaker Chemical (KWR) Afternoon 1.29
Ferro (FOE) Afternoon 0.28 Regulus Therapeutics (RGLS) Afternoon -0.15
FGL (FG) Afternoon 0.13 RMG Networks (RMGN) Morning -0.15
Frontline (FRO) Afternoon -0.08 Rowan Companies (RDC) Morning -0.26
Fulgent Genetics (FLGT) Afternoon -0.03 salesforce.com (CRM) Afternoon 0.33
Getty Realty (GTY) Afternoon 0.29 Scientific Games (SGMS) Afternoon -0.23
Glaukos (GKOS) Afternoon 0.01 SeaSpine (SPNE) Afternoon -0.53
Golar LNG (GLNG) Morning -0.30 Sempra Energy (SRE) N/A 1.43
Golar LNG Partners (GMLP) Morning 0.25 Sequential Brands Group (SQBG) Morning 0.16
Gramercy Property Trust (GPT) Afternoon 0.52 SilverBow Resources (SBOW) Afternoon 1.50
Greif (GEF) Afternoon 0.68 Snyder's-Lance (LNCE) Morning 0.40
Greif (GEF.B) Afternoon N/A St. Joe (JOE) Afternoon N/A
Guidewire Software (GWRE) Afternoon 0.19 STAAR Surgical (STAA) Afternoon 0.03
Habit Restaurants (HABT) Afternoon -0.02 Stage Stores (SSI) Morning N/A
Halcon Resources (HK) Afternoon -0.04 Stoneridge (SRI) Afternoon 0.37
Harmonic (HLIT) Afternoon -0.04 Stratasys (SSYS) Morning 0.15
Hertz Global (HRI) Morning 0.27 Syndax Pharmaceuticals (SNDX) Afternoon -0.76
Heska (HSKA) Morning 0.60 Third Point Reinsurance (TPRE) Afternoon 0.68
Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Afternoon 0.51 TJX Companies (TJX) Morning 1.27
Hoegh LNG Partners (HMLP) Morning 0.34 TravelCenters of America (TA) Morning -0.05
Horizon Pharma (HZNP) Morning 0.22 Triangle Capital (TCAP) Afternoon 0.33
Hostess Brands (TWNK) Afternoon 0.15 UFP Technologies (UFPT) N/A 0.23
Hudson Global (HSON) N/A N/A Univar (UNVR) Morning 0.25
I.D. Systems (IDSY) Afternoon 0.03 Valeant Pharmaceuticals Intl (VRX) Morning 0.96
ILG (ILG) Afternoon 0.26 WhiteHorse Finance (WHF) Morning 0.33
Installed Building Products (IBP) Morning 0.60 Worldpay (WP) Morning 0.95
Interlink Electronics (LINK) N/A N/A Xerium Technologies (XRM) Afternoon 0.08
Disclaimer: The opinions in this thread and forum are solely the opinions of the individual account holders and contributors. The info should not be regarded as investment advice or as a recommendation of any particular security. All investments entail risks. As with most things in life, caveat emptor.
submitted by theprofitgod to The_Profit [link] [comments]

Using Python and Pandas to explore trader sentiment data

FXCM’s Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) focuses on buyers and sellers, comparing how many are active in the market and producing a ratio to indicate how traders are behaving in relation to a particular currency pair. A positive SSI ratio indicates more buyers are in the market than sellers, while a negative SSI ratio indicates that more sellers are in the market. FXCM’s sentiment data was designed around this index, providing 12 sentiment measurements per minute (click here for an overview of each measurement.)
The sample data is stored in a GNU compressed zip file on FXCM’s GitHub as https://sampledata.fxcorporate.com/sentiment/{instrument}.csv.gz. To download the file, we’ll use this URL, but change {instrument} to the instrument of our choice. For this example we’ll use EUUSD price.
import datetime import pandas as pd url = 'https://sampledata.fxcorporate.com/sentiment/EURUSD.csv.gz' data = pd.read_csv(url, compression='gzip', index_col='DateTime', parse_dates=True) """Convert data into GMT to match the price data we will download later""" import pytz data = data.tz_localize(pytz.timezone('US/Eastern')) data = data.tz_convert(pytz.timezone('GMT')) """Use pivot method to pivot Name rows into columns""" sentiment_pvt = data.tz_localize(None).pivot(columns='Name', values='Value') 
Now that we have downloaded sentiment data, it would be helpful to have the price data for the same instrument over the same period for analysis. Note the sentiment data is in 1-minute increments, so I will need to pull 1-minute EURUSD candles. We could pull this data into a DataFrame quickly and easily using fxcmpy, however the limit of the number of candles we can pull using fxcmpy is 10,000, which is fewer than the number of 1-minute candles in January 2018. Instead, we can download the candles in 1-week packages from FXCM’s GitHub and create a loop to compile them into a DataFrame. This sounds like a lot of work, but really it’s only a few lines of code. Similarly to the sentiment data, historical candle data is stored in GNU zip files which can be called by their URL.
url = 'https://candledata.fxcorporate.com/' periodicity='m1' ##periodicity, can be m1, H1, D1 url_suffix = '.csv.gz' symbol = 'EURUSD' start_dt = datetime.date(2018,1,2)##select start date end_dt = datetime.date(2018,2,1)##select end date start_wk = start_dt.isocalendar()[1] end_wk = end_dt.isocalendar()[1] year = str(start_dt.isocalendar()[0]) data=pd.DataFrame() for i in range(start_wk, end_wk+1): url_data = url + periodicity + '/' + symbol + '/' + year + '/' + str(i) + url_suffix print(url_data) tempdata = pd.read_csv(url_data, compression='gzip', index_col='DateTime', parse_dates=True) data=pd.concat([data, tempdata]) """Combine price and sentiment data""" frames = data['AskClose'], sentiment_pvt.tz_localize(None) combineddf = pd.concat(frames, axis=1, join_axes=[sentiment_pvt.tz_localize(None).index], ignore_index=False).dropna() combineddf 
At this point you can begin your exploratory data analysis. We started by viewing the descriptive statistics of the data, creating a heatmap of the correlation matrix, and plotting a histogram of the data to view its distribution. View this articleto see our sample code and the results.
submitted by JasonRogers to AlgoTradingFXCM [link] [comments]


𝗜𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝗻𝘀: - 3.3% for 48 b.days min Ł0.5 | max Ł0.79 - 4.1% for 48 b.days min Ł0.8 | max Ł6.19 𝗥𝗲𝗳.𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗺𝗶𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻: Level1: 10% 𝗢𝘂𝗿 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴: https://www.hyip.house/2018/11/fosterbit.com.html #ForexBit, #ForexBitLTD., #HYIPReviewer, #HYIP, #NewHYIP
submitted by HYIPReviewer1 to u/HYIPReviewer1 [link] [comments]

Trade Ideas Thread (3 - 7 March) - Submit your trade and win reddit gold!

Had some great trade ideas, all of them - thanks to everyone who participated!
Here are the trades, summarized, and not in order of competition ranking. Some of them I'm not sure if they were triggered, so please do update your post or add a new comment to let me know.
(Trades in brackets are still open. We'll have a vote on the next thread as to what to do with these)
Trades in italics: I'm not sure whether they were triggered or not. Let me know
Trader Day Pair Buy/Sell Entry Stop Target Result R:R P/L Comment
Wyatt2000 Wed/Thurs USD/CAD Sell 1.10799 1.12067 1.097 Win 1:0.9 +109
phatey Thurs/Fri USD/CHF Sell 0.88825 0.8915 0.88 Win 1:2.6 +80
phatey Thurs GBP/JPY Buy 171.27 (170.90) 172 Win 1:2 +73 Manually reversed short
Ormin Mon/Tues USD/CHF Sell 0.8854 0.8876 0.878 Loss 1:3.4 -30
phatey Mon/Tues GBP/JPY Sell 171.22 171.5 168.5 Loss 1:9 -10 Manually closed
Blades1 Tues/Wed NZD/USD Sell 0.8392 0.843 0.83 Loss 1:3.5 -38
NormanConquest Mon AUD/CAD Sell 0.993 1.0075 0.86 Loss 1:3.25 -145 Fuck this thing
papagoy Fri EUNZD Buy 1.634 1.615 1.65 (Win) 1:0.8 (+68)
NormanConquest Mon EUCHF Buy 1.2100 1.193 1.24 (Win) 1:2 (+77)
FXReddit Mon/Tues NZD/CAD Sell 0.93 0.94 0.9015 (Loss) 1:2.8 (-78)
FXReddit Mon USD/JPY Buy 100.75 100.4 105 Not triggered 1:14 N/A
phatey Thurs/Fri EUUSD Buy 1.3715 1.368 1.383 Not triggered? 1:4 N/A?
Aaaand the winner is:
Phatey with this beautifully simple USD/CHF short: http://i.imgur.com/HDvmumb.png
Congratulations on winning the first /forex paper trading competition! I really like this trade because it was just so obvious, clean and textbook, and in the face of all the noise out there about how USD/CHF was on its way to the moon.
There were lots of other good contenders. In second place for sure was Wyat2000's USD/CAD short. The only reason I decided that this didn't win was because phatey's trade had a much better risk/reward ratio - other than that they were both equally good, and equally well executed.
I didn't include phatey's EUUSD long, which would have been even better, but I don't believe it was triggered?
Two interesting things:
I'll leave correspondence open for bitchin' and whinin' until the end of the day, so if you have any complaints or suggestions we can pretend that this is a democracy for a bit. Otherwise the prize will be awarded this evening!
Someone suggested we make this a thing, so this is where you post your hottest trade ideas for the week. Smoke 'em if you got 'em, and let's try liven this place up a little.
*** To make it a little interesting, I will award the week's "best trade" with a month of reddit gold! ***
  1. Charts are preferable, but if you don't post a chart then please be detailed about entry level, stops and limits, means of execution, and any other conditions. Vague buy or sell calls won't be considered for the competition - you must include some reasoning behind the trade.
  2. In order to be eligible to win, you MUST adhere to Rule #1 and you MUST post an update on when and how you managed and closed your trade (including partial exits, trailing your stop, adding on, etc.) - I'm hoping these threads will be a good way for newbies to learn, and for the rest of us to pick up a few tricks.
  3. The "Best Trade" will be judged by me, but I'll take anyone's thoughts into consideration. It will be based mostly on % change in price during the time the trade was open, but there may be arbitrary style points awarded. Generally it will be on how technically "good" the trade is, and hopefully this will generate some debate.
  4. Risk management and strategic execution will also factor into it, mostly to try to exclude luck to some degree - but also to encourage and promote good trading habits.
  5. You can post trades at any time from now until Friday's close, but no trades after the fact, obviously.
  6. Trades that are still open by Friday's close will be considered as closed at that point (unless anyone has a better idea of how to handle this?)
  7. EDIT: Forgot to mention that you can post as many different trades as you like, but please do them each in a separate comment to make it easier to track.
I'll post mine as soon as TradingStation is back up tomorrow, but in the meantime, let's hear what you got!
submitted by NormanConquest to Forex [link] [comments]

GBP/USD Technical & Sentiment Analysis (16 Feb 2014)

Hey guys. I don't usually do GBP/USD, but it's suddenly become one of the most interesting pairs in my opinion, because I believe some very big moves are afoot. I'm going to mostly be looking at the long term view in the context of market positioning, so this might not be all that helpful for scalpers ;)
I want to start with the Daily FX SSI (Speculative Sentiment Index) reading for GBP/USD, which is quite something: http://i.imgur.com/pFcbIij.png (© 2014 DailyFX)
There are 9 traders short for every one long. Basically the entire retail crowd is betting against the trend. This means that the majority of orders in the market will be stop losses near current levels.
Also worth a watch is John Kicklighter's video for the week, focusing on the S&P and GBP/USD: http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2014/02/14/Forex_Weighing_Reversals_for_SP_500_USDollar_GBPUSD.html
For those new to this kind of thing, sentiment analysis is just analysis using what you can know about market positioning, and how the market generally "feels" about a currency pair. Usually SSI gives quite reliable indications of when a trend will continue, because the majority of retail traders will start betting against it. Their stops add fuel to the fire when it continues. (This is also why I'm short AUD/USD - 2 traders long to every 1 short. Not extreme yet, but it means there are lots of stops below).
Before I get into too much detail there, here's the weekly chart: http://i.imgur.com/Ef4VRQf.png
(Yes I'm long)
I've put some tentative levels there, but I'll do more precise ones in a minute. As you can see, price is breaking out of a long term wedge. It hasn't quite cleared the range yet, and 1.700 is a massive wall to get over. There will be enormous interest at this level, not to mention some extremely large option barriers.
But I think it will break it eventually. Why I think it will go higher? Well, market positioning for one, but also this:
Good analysis piece pointing out that GBP/USD is only about 6% away from the 200WMA. Deviations from this average have historically been much larger. Since price is clearly moving away from this level, I believe we can expect quite a large move as the market unwinds its short positioning.
A look at Oanda's orderbook (or the order boards posted at ForexLive) can give us a more precise view of where these orders are sitting:
Current Positioning & Open Orders
As you can see the market is severely short, mostly from the last 100 pips or so. 1.6600 is an area where a lot of positions, both long and short, were established.
There are clusters of buy stops above 1.6700 (small), 1.6750 (bigger) and then above 1.6900 there are two large clusters of buy stops.
Further, there are more buy stops above current price than there are sell orders, meaning that there is ample room for price to continue higher. They're mixed in with some mid-weight sell orders around 1.6800, so this is a level that should provide resistance.
Going a bit lower, we find that bids (both those wanting to initiate new positions and those wanting to take profits on short positions) should provide extreme levels of support.
These are in at about every 10-15 pips between 1.6600 and 1.6500, with the largest cluster being at 1.6500. Going on this alone, buying any dips below 1.66 looks really good.
Beware the retracement
Bear in mind that there are sell stops below 1.6700 - these are the weaker longs or those wishing to enter short on a break below the figure. These could accelerate a correction down to 1.6650 quite quickly.
Here's the 4hr chart, with the largest bids and offers put in. You'll notice that they line up quite nicely with just about any other method of calculating S&R. Dashed lines are larger orders, dotted ones smaller. The big box is where there are too many orders to make lines for :P
Hopefully that's helpful.
Now, there's also a fundamental component to consider. The UK's recovery is looking fairly solid, while the market is very quickly losing its patience with the greenback. Over the last quarter my bullish USD bias has evaporated, as it was predicated on the market not having priced in the full effects of the taper. Now that it appears this is not the case, I have no choice but to change my USD bias to neutral/bearish. The recent soft data also indicates that the recovery is lagging that of the UK's quite badly. The market's reaction to positive US data is generally muted, and when something can't rally on good news, it's usually bad news.
Another thing to note is that the DJ FXCM Dollar Index declined throughout the last dip and recovery in the S&P - one of the longest sustained bearish moves in history. It was only half the magnitude of the other declines of this length, but most other 6-7 day consecutive declines in the dollar have preceded much greater bear waves, not recoveries. The logical thing to do is to look for a USD bounce and sell it.
We need look no further than the S&P to see what's happening here:
http://i.imgur.com/YrCT8tA.png (4hr chart with GBP/USD overlaid in white)
Sterling not quite a safe-haven yet. If 1850 goes in S&P, expect GBP/USD to continue higher. However, Daily RSI on both is currently showing bearish divergence (shown on charts - it's a daily RSI despite it being a 4hr chart)
This means that we might head slightly lower before bouncing. Trend line support for the S&P comes in at around 1775, which would imply quite a serious fall in Cable before buyers really step in.
The level I really like? 1.6475 There is a large cluster of buy orders just below 1.6500, which I believe is where the smart money is looking to enter. This move would flush out a lot of weak longs, leaving plenty of space for new positions. Sellers will also be taking a lot of profits off here, giving us a very good chance of a bounce. From there all it will take is a move back above 1.660 to really get moving.
So longer term I would look to start long positions between 1.6600 and 1.6475, with stops below 1.6250 or the 100DMA
Targets would be completely open. I will look to exit the position if and when speculative sentiment drops back to more natural levels, or perhaps even reverses. Stops will be trailed to lock in profit, but not aggressively.
submitted by NormanConquest to Forex [link] [comments]

Japanese Yen Declines After Trade Figures Miss Expectations

This is an automatic summary, original reduced by 11%.
The Yen declined against the US Dollar following poor Japanese trade balance figures January's trade balance was - ¥1086.9b vs -¥625.9b expected and ¥640.4b previously February's FOMC minutes serve as top event risk for USD/JPY in the week ahead. See how retail traders are positioning in the majors using the DailyFX SSI readings on the sentiment page.
The Japanese Yen fell against the US Dollar as trade balance figures missed expectations.
The data showed the nation's trade balance for January was - ¥1086.9b versus -¥625.9b expected and ¥640.4b recorded in December.
While there was an initial USD/JPY climb, the excitement seemed to dwindle rather swiftly as these figures have limited implications for BOJ monetary policy.
With a rather quiet week ahead, the release of February's FOMC meeting minutes will serve as top event risk for the USD/JPY pair.
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Forex Sentiment - Should We Chase It? - YouTube How to Read Trader Sentiment (Forex & Indices) - YouTube Top 100 Forex Indicator - The SSL - YouTube SSI Snapshots Apps de FXCM Trading with the SSI Indicator with Walker E. 01.05.16

This is Forex 201. You will need to learn how to trade this market first. Even if you have experience trading stocks or crytpo or anything else, you need to hit RESET and learn this from scratch. The best place I’ve found is here. It took me 3 days to finish, and I worked two of those days, AND took detailed notes, so it may go a lot quicker ... Relative Strength Index, or RSI, is a popular indicator developed by a technical analyst named J. Welles Wilder, that help traders evaluate the strength of the current market.. RSI is similar to Stochastic in that it identifies overbought and oversold conditions in the market. To do sentiment analysis in Forex, the Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) is a tool that can be used to understand how different traders are positioning themselves in the market. Continuing with the articles already published on the role that the Commitment of Traders (COT) Report plays in the market, on the analysis of Market Profile and the assessment made of the Money Flow Index, this text ... The Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) is one of the most powerful tools at a trader’s disposal. Now you can get the sentiment of your trading peers plotted right on your chart. Unlike major equities or futures markets, there is no single centralized exchange for forex trading. Such decentralized activity makes finding uniform open interest data... The SSI is a unique indicator provided by FXCM that gives traders an inside window into how the market is feeling and behaving in relation to a particular currency pair. The index is considered a contrarian indicator that is most valuable when judging how to trade against the rest of the market.

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Forex Sentiment - Should We Chase It? - YouTube

This is how I set up the Forex Pin System created by Dennis Buchholz. I use it with the Agimat System to trade profitably in the Forex Market. Join me at Http://forexpipqueen to see more tools and ... Dumb money goes one way, Big Banks go the other way. Is there a way we can chase Forex sentiment, so we'll always be on the side of the banks? The answer may... Order flow basics - What is the DOM? Why is it useful? What do the numbers mean? - Duration: 1:33:59. NoBSDayTrading 121,087 views 🔴 BITCOIN & Stocks LIVE : Cinco de Mayo HYPE 🔴 Ep. 973 Crypto Technical Analysis Mitch Ray 659 watching Live now Este poderoso indicador contrario le ayuda a localizar oportunidades de trading al permitirle medir el posicionamiento de los traders y el sentimiento del mercado forex. El SSI Snapshots se ...